FIFA World Cup 2022: Scenarios, standings, tiebreaker points with Mexico eliminated on goal difference

By | December 1, 2022

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We’re coming to the end of the World Cup group stage with groups A, B, C and D completed and sprinkled with groups E and F scheduled for Thursday. So far, France, Australia, Portugal, England, Senegal, United States, Netherlands, Argentina, Poland and Brazil have secured their passage to the round of 16. Five more will join them in the last round of each group. Qatar also joined South Africa as the only World Cup host not to make it past the group stage. Let’s take a look at who might join them in the Round of 16 and what’s the path to get there.

Looking at the tiebreakers, the start is simple with the team that has the most points advancing. If two teams are tied on points, this will go towards the overall goal difference. If they still cannot be split, then the team that has scored the most goals will advance. The rules will only be reapplied in the direct confrontation between the two tied teams. So total points in those matches are next followed by head-to-head goal difference and goals scored. If they make it all the way through and cannot be divided, they finally go into the fair play system.

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The fair play system will make the team with the fewest penalties in the matches advance. Thus, a team loses one point for a yellow card, three points for each red card caused by a second yellow card, four points for a direct red card and if a yellow card is followed by a direct red card, it will count as five points.

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Here are the groups including all groups that played two games

A group

  • Netherlands: Group Winners.
  • Senegal: Second place.
  • Ecuador: Eliminated.
  • Qatar: Eliminated.

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Group B

  • England: Group Winners.
  • United States: Second place.
  • Will: Eliminated.
  • Wales: Eliminated.

Group C

  • Argentina: Group Winners.
  • Poland: Second Place.
  • Mexico: Eliminated.
  • Saudi Arabia: Eliminated.

Group D

  • France: Group Winners.
  • Australia: Second place.
  • Tunisia: Eliminated.
  • Denmark: Eliminated.

Group E

  • Spain: Qualified for the Round of 16 with a win or draw against Japan. Can win the group with a victory over Japan. It could also go ahead with a loss to Japan and a draw between Costa Rica and Germany.
  • Japan: Qualified for the round of 16 with a victory against Spain. It can also advance to the round of 16 with a draw against Spain and a draw between Costa Rica and Germany. They could win the group with a win against Spain and have a better goal difference than Costa Rica if they defeat Germany.
  • Costa Rica: Can advance with a win over Germany and a loss to Spain/Japan or a draw between the two. It can also advance with a draw and a loss to Japan. They can win the group with a win, a loss to Spain and making up the six goals difference between Japan.
  • Germany: can qualify for the Round of 16 with a win and a loss to Spain or Japan. It can also advance with a victory by more than one goal and a draw with Japan.

Group F

  • Croatia: Can advance to the round of 16 with a victory against Belgium. It could also go ahead with a draw against Belgium and a loss for Morocco to Canada. Can win the group overcoming the result of Morocco.
  • Morocco: Can advance to the Round of 16 with a win or draw against Canada. It can also advance to the round of 16 with a defeat and a loss to Belgium or a defeat, a victory for Belgium and have a better goal difference than Croatia. They can win the group by improving Croatia’s result and making up the one goal difference.
  • Belgium: Can advance to the round of 16 with a victory over Croatia. It can also advance with a draw and a loss to Morocco by more than three goals.
  • Canada: Eliminated from the dispute for the round of 16.

Group G

  • Brazil: Until the round of 16, they can win the group with a victory or draw against Cameroon or defeat against Switzerland.
  • Switzerland: It can reach the round of 16 with a win or a draw against Serbia. They can win the group with a victory, a defeat against Brazil and recovering the difference of three goals.
  • Cameroon: It can reach the round of 16 with a victory against Brazil and a defeat against Switzerland. It could also reach the round of 16 with a victory over Brazil by more than one goal and a draw between Switzerland and Serbia.
  • Serbia: It can reach the round of 16 with a victory against Switzerland and a defeat by Cameroon.

Group H

  • Portugal: In the round of 16. Can win the group with a win or draw against South Korea or a loss to Ghana.
  • Ghana: It can reach the round of 16 with a win or draw against Uruguay. With a draw, they will need to have a better goal difference than South Korea if they beat Portugal.
  • South Korea: You can reach the round of 16 with a win against Portugal and a defeat or a draw against Ghana against Uruguay.
  • Uruguay: You can reach the round of 16 with a win against Ghana and a defeat or draw with South Korea against Portugal. If South Korea wins together with Uruguay, it will reach the tiebreaker.

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